Chiefs vs. Raiders Live Stream info, prediction, odds, spread, line: 2023 NFL picks, Week 18 best bets from model on 160-113 run
Week 18 kicks off with the Kansas City Chiefs and the Las Vegas Raiders linking up in a divisional matchup on Saturday to begin the Week 18 NFL schedule. The Chiefs are 13-3 overall, while Las Vegas owns a 6-10 record. The Raiders are on a two-game skid and are eliminated from the NFL playoff picture. On the flip side, Kansas City has won four straight games and is fighting for the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoff bracket.
Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET in Las Vegas. Kansas City is favored by nine points in the latest Chiefs vs. Raiders odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is 52.5. Before locking in any Raiders vs. Chiefs picks, make sure you check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 18 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 160-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 14-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has broken down Chiefs vs. Raiders from every angle and locked in its NFL Week 18 picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Raiders vs. Chiefs:
Some could have predicted these teams coming into Week 18 like this before the season: the Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
team sitting at 6-10 and out of playoff contention. However, that leaves out the context that makes this a much more significant game.
Even as the Chiefs stand at nine-point favorites heading into the weekend — courtesy of DraftKings SportsBook — this contest will have all AFC teams and fans on the edges of their seats:
A Chiefs win would clinch the No. 1 overall seed and a postseason bye week. A loss opens the door for the Buffalo Bills (-7.5)
To take over home-field advantage. No matter the other circumstances surrounding the logistics of the playoffs, the one seed is vital for rest and matchup purposes.
There’s one simple way to show the Chiefs’ offense has hit a snag as of late: punter Tommy Townsend has punted 15 times in three games; that is the same number of punts he had in the previous six weeks.
In Week 18, Kansas City’s goal should be never to have the punt team take the field, something the unit can do — especially against a Raiders’ defense with no impact players available outside of defensive end Maxx Crosby. This has the makings of a game where the offense should be able to do what it wants and not turn the ball over; Las Vegas has forced the second-fewest turnovers in the NFL this season.
It’d be a valuable boost before the postseason, getting everything to click for a full four quarters — something it feels like hasn’t happened in any games down the stretch. If they have familiar struggles, the panic meter on whether this offense can flip a switch in the playoffs could rise slightly.
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